Stanford, California – Top medical experts who study the Ebola cases say that the public should know that there are more cases of the disease are expected to emerge by the end of the year.
One of the factors that medical experts are looking at as the main reason why there are more cases of Ebola to expect in the United States is the growing number of infected people arriving in the country from West Africa. This includes nurses and doctors who would go back to their families from the hot zone together with many people escaping from the fatal disease.
As far as the exact number of Ebola cases is concerned, there’s no specific figure that experts can give but scientists have come up with an educated guess according to data models that evaluate hundreds of variables. Worse comes to worst, there would likely be 130 cases of Ebola in the country by the end of 2014 that would need urgent care. The estimate also includes the daily infections in the most affected parts of West Africa together with transmission possibilities and airline traffic around the globe.
Dr. David Relman, the founding member of the Department of Health and Human Services in the U.S., said that he doesn’t feel like there’s going to be a huge outbreak in the country but basing on data available right now, he’s seeing that it’s possible that by the end of the year, every major city will likely have a minimum of two Ebola cases which means that the urgent care clinic near me might have a lot of work to do.
The forecasts of the top medical experts are quite complex but the thing is that Ebola is not the type of virus which is unpredictable as it’s now easily detected in an urgent care clinic. It’s highly infectious and everyone knows that it’s contagious when a person gets in contact with another through body fluids. Also, everyone in the world already knows that it requires no less than 21 days for a person to be quarantined in case he’s doubted to have been infected by the virus as this time period is when the symptoms of the disease emerge.
Senior manager for life risks at leading catastrophe-modeling firm in Newark, California Dominic Smith ran a simulation a few days ago which estimated the number of cases of Ebola at around 15 to 130 between now and the end of the year. This number represents less than one case in every 2 million individuals. Smith also added that 130 cases may be a little bit overstated considering the automatic quarantining that is employed in some parts of the U.S.
The projected Ebola cases may be lessened if those who’ve been from West Africa would volunteer to have themselves checked at urgent care clinics that should be able to help them.
